Friday, December 01, 2006
TALLAHASSEE (AP) — A quiet hurricane season ended on Thursday and it looks as though the final totals will be nine named storms and five hurricanes.
All of the hurricanes spun to the east of the United States except Ernesto, which sputtered into a tropical storm before it landed in South Florida.
Two tropical storms hit Florida this year - the other was Alberto, which made landfall in the Big Bend in June.
What a difference a year makes. Last year there were a record 27 named storms and 15 hurricanes, four of which reached Category 5 strength.
This year's hurricane season never came close to the predictions.
Experts say the quiet season was due to a prevailing high pressure system that shifted to the east and helped steer storms away from the U-S.
But Florida Emergency Management Director Craig Fugate says we are still in an active cycle of hurricane activity that could last another twenty years.
Tuesday, October 03, 2006
Saturday, September 30, 2006
In the meantime, take 1 minute to look at this EXCELLENT animation of the amount of damage various hurricane categories can have on property. Click here.
Wednesday, September 13, 2006
Tuesday, September 12, 2006
Sunday, September 10, 2006
ATLANTA, Georgia (CNN) -- A strong, 6.0 earthquake in the Gulf of Mexico was felt throughout the Southeast but caused no apparent damage, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.
The quake was not powerful enough to trigger a tsunami warning.The quake, about 250 miles west of Tampa, Florida, was "pretty unusual" for the area.
Florence continues to strengthen and is now a Cat 1 Hurricane that will impact Bermuda on Monday. Here's the AP Story.
Saturday, September 09, 2006
Wednesday, September 06, 2006
Tuesday, September 05, 2006
From the Associated Press: Tropical Storm Florence formed far out in the open Atlantic on Tuesday, and forecasters said it will probably become a hurricane.
But they said it was too soon to tell whether the sixth named storm of the hurricane season would reach the United States.
Florence had sustained wind near 45 mph, 6 mph over the threshold for a tropical storm. The minimum for a hurricane is 74 mph.
"Our forecast does have it becoming a hurricane by Friday morning - minimal hurricane, Category 1," National Hurricane Center meteorologist Mark Willis said.
At 5 p.m. EDT, the storm was centered 960 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, or about 2,100 miles southeast of Miami, and was moving northwest at about 12 mph.
The storm follows on the heels of Tropical Storm Ernesto, which was briefly the season's first hurricane before weakening and hitting Florida and North Carolina last week as a tropical storm. It formed over the southern Caribbean on Aug. 25.
At least nine deaths in the United States were blamed on Ernesto, which also killed two people in Haiti, delayed the launch of the space shuttle Atlantis and blacked out thousands of homes and businesses from North Carolina to New York state.
Last year's Atlantic storm season had a record 28 named storms and 15 hurricanes, including Katrina.
Monday, September 04, 2006
Sunday, September 03, 2006
Friday, September 01, 2006
We now expect that the 2006 hurricane season will have slightly less hurricane activity than the long-term average. This is due to an unexpected increase in tropical Atlantic mid-level dryness (with large amounts of African dust) and a continued trend towards El Niño-like conditions in the eastern and central Pacific"
September is typically the busiest month and he's calling for 5 named storms, 3 hurricanes, 2 major hurricanes.
No sign of Florence yet.
Wednesday, August 30, 2006
Tampa Bay will just see a very rainy day and a good dry run. Many stocked up on their hurricane supplies and reviewed their own personal storm plans
Meanwhile September may prove to be a very busy month starting with a tropical wave out in the Atlantic that forecasters expect to become a depression and eventually a named storm - Florence.
Something to look forward to next weekend!
Monday, August 28, 2006
We're feeling better here in the Tampa Bay area as the "cone of uncertainty" becomes some other community's bigger concern. All day today we've slowly edged towards the western fringe of the cone giving us reason to offer a collective sigh of relief. The forecasted path now seems to be more towards the eastern side of the state.
But things could change so we won't take our eye of the bouncing ball.
Sunday, August 27, 2006
The entire state is in the "Cone of Uncertainty" but the predicted path does appear to be shifting to the East. Possibility that the storm may try to go straight up the middle of the state.
As of 11pm, the land mass of Hispanioia (Haiti) has helped Ernesto to be downgraded to a Tropical Storm, but it's expected to strengthen overnight as it gets back out into the open warm waters of the Carribean.
We'll see what tomorrow brings....
Now, while I'm now concerned and making initial preparations for possible landfall on Thursday, the good news in my mind, is that I'd rather be in the bullseye today, rather than in 5 days.
We'll be watching updates carefully!
Saturday, August 26, 2006
Thursday, August 24, 2006
Ernesto - Probably will be named within next 24 hours - Currently Tropical Depression #5.
TD #5 satellite image
One Year ago today, Tropical Storm Katrina formed in the Bahamas. Accuweather has a real good series which chronicles the historic and catastrophic event - "Katrina: One Year Later"
14 years ago today, Hurricane Andrew struck South Florida. Here's the recap of that disaster.
Meanwhile, most forecasts have Debby headed up in to the Atlantic and threatening no one except the sea life and transatlantic ships.
Tuesday, August 22, 2006
From the New York Times:
"Almost halfway through a hurricane season that had been predicted to be particularly awesome, the fourth potential hurricane of the year is gathering strength off the coast of West Africa, the National Hurricane Center said this morning. The three previous storms all fizzled out harmlessly at sea without reaching hurricane strength."
The Tropical Storm is named Debby and formed this evening. Could be in Bermuda in a week, could just turn north into the Atlantic and not bother anyone.
Saturday, August 12, 2006
And that's just the wind portion.
I still have normal homeowners and flood, which gratefully did not go up more than a normal year over year increase. Most homeowners have hurricane insurance, albeit, paying through the nose. A fair number of commercial businesses had their insurance cancelled completely, hence, a special session of the Florida legislature may be called to deal with the issue
Wednesday, August 09, 2006
Everyone is calm here in Florida at the moment focused on gas prices, insurance rates, and summer heat.
Thursday, August 03, 2006
Meanwhile, quite the thunderstorm in Chicago last night. If the rains ends today, it's an Ernie Banks kind of day and we're playing two at Wrigley!
Wednesday, August 02, 2006
Tuesday, August 01, 2006
It was 2 years ago August that I started this blog in the form of emails to some of you. Charlie was threatening Florida and I was stuck at an airport in New England, at the end of a vacation, hoping my flight would leave and trying to get the latest weather on my cellphone's Internet browser.
Since then the term "Hurricane" is much more on the tips of all Americans' tongues especially starting in August and especially in Florida and the Southeast. That's when the conditions in the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico begin to be much more favorable for the development of storms. The warm water conditions will continue right through the end of the season in late November when they finally begin to cool down.
It's no surprise that I wake up (on vacation again in Chicago - where the heat this week is worse than anything we experience in Florida) to hear about "Chris", the 3rd named storm of the 2006 season, which may become an issue in the US early next week.
For the details from my favorite source of excellent Hurricane forecast information, click here.
Monday, July 24, 2006
Cindy, Dennis, Emily, & Franklin had all formed by the last week of July in 2005.
Dennis was the close call here in the Tampa Bay area. Here's my blog post from last July.
We're reminded that the season really doesn't kick in until August/September!
The disorganized showers could develop into a tropical disturbance in the next few days as the showers track to the north and northwest, the National Weather Service said in a 5:30 a.m. advisory. The showers were not a threat to Florida.
"Elsewhere, tropical storm formation is not expected through Tuesday," said the Miami center, which watches the gulf, the Caribbean Sea and the North Atlantic Ocean.
Tuesday, July 18, 2006
This is the fifth Beryl since coming into the storm rotation in 1982.
The storm was upgraded from a tropical depression Tuesday afternoon.
At 5 p.m. ET Tuesday, the storm was centered about 180 miles (290 kilometers) southeast of Cape Hatteras and was moving toward the north at nearly 6 mph (9 kph), the National Hurricane Center said. A slow turn toward the north-northwest was expected later Tuesday or Wednesday.
The National Hurricane Center is watching three low pressure systems -- one of them off the North Carolina could build quickly.
"Although the low is currently not well-organized, there is a potential for a tropical depression to form during the next day or two," hurricane center forecasters said in a statement today.
A hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the area later today.
Friday, July 14, 2006
In its daily, 5:30 a.m. advisory, storm watchers in Miami said a tropical wave, which they had been watching all week move from the North Atlantic into the Caribbean Sea, has weakened.
"The U.S. now is a month and a half into its 2006 hurricane season, and so far there has been one named tropical storm."
Monday, July 10, 2006
On this date last year, Hurricane Dennis struck Florida.
Dennis was the earliest forming category 4 storm in the Caribbean. The hurricane, which weakened to a category 3 before it made landfall with 120 mile-an-hour winds near Navarre Beach in the Panhandle, spawned 10 tornadoes.
Meanwhile, tropical waves continue to form in the Eastern Carribean only to be knocked down by upper level wind shear. Accuweather is saying that the shear is beginning to disapate and surface pressures are lowering which could allow this and future waves to better organize. We'll be watching!
Friday, June 16, 2006
The Hooters restaurant chain is looking for FEMA's address.
Company Chairman Bob Brooks says he wants to reimburse the agency for the 200-dollar bottle of Dom Perignon Champagne that was purchased with a government credit card issued to Hurricane Katrina victims.
The champagne was purchased in San Antonio. It was among numerous examples of improper spending of hurricane relief money cited earlier this week by Congress' Government Accountability Office.
The GAO says the bogus spending could be as high as one-point-four (b) billion dollars. "
Tuesday, June 13, 2006
Monday, June 12, 2006
Ahead of T.S. Alberto, The Weather Channel was reporting live from our little community of Safety Harbor Sunday and tonight, NBC/MSNBC is in the exact same spot
We sit on the western edge of old Tampa Bay, which is at about 10 o'clock as you look northward at a map and see the big body of water in the middle of the Tampa-St. Petersburg DMA.
Safety Harbor is best known for its world-known Spa which attracts visitors from around the world but mostly the US Northeast.
We're about 12 miles from the Gulf of Mexico which is the direction this Storm is pushing rain and wind in from. We do, however, run the risk of a storm surge coming up Tampa Bay and pushing water into the Safety Harbor community. Our house is about 1 mile from the Bay but not in a flood zone. We also have a noticeble creek bed between us and the Bay that would absorb some surge should it make it that far.
Right now we're getting some well needed rain and occasional gusts of wind no worse than any we've seen over the past two storm seasons. The latest forecast seems to indicate we should miss the worst of it but do have the threat of tornados and flooding through tomorrow afternoon.
Sunday, June 11, 2006
Wednesday, June 07, 2006
The price includes 400 minutes of talk time that don't expire until used and 150 megabytes of Internet access - enough for about two days of average surfing.
Saturday, June 03, 2006
BUT, others are not...
Florida officials worry about 'hurricane fatigue': A Mason-Dixon poll found that 83 percent of coastal residents still haven't fortified their homes, 68 percent haven't assembled a survival kit, including a first-aid kit, food, water, medicines, flashlights, a radio and batteries, and 60 percent have no family plan."
Thursday, June 01, 2006
Monday, May 29, 2006
We can only hope!