Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Early Forecast Says Below-Average Hurricane Season

The annual National Hurricane Conference is going on this week in Orlando.  Here's a nice mid-week update from the Palm Beach Post's Emergency Management website


Wednesday, March 16, 2016

El Nino may weaken by the peak of 2016 Hurricane Season


The Colorado State University Tropical Meteorology Project's December publication suggests this could be so, albeit too early to tell.

Some interesting factoids from their post:


  • The last major hurricane to hit Florida was Wilma in 2005.  Since then none of the 27 major hurricanes that have formed have made US landfall.  
  • This ten-year period is the longest the US has gone without any major hurricane landfalls since the eight years between 1861-1868.
  • The longest period the state of Florida has been not been impacted was a five-year period between 1980-1984
  • From 1916-1965 (50 years), 20 major hurricanes hit the Florida Peninsula and/or East Coast.  
  • From 1966-2015 (50 years), only 8 majors have made landfall in the same area.
The first of CSU's seasonal updates will be issued on April 14th, 2016.


Meanwhile, El Nino's predicted wetter colder winter in Florida seems to have ended in February as March has been warm & dry!   Nice recap on this from the Fort Meyer News-Press.


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