Sunday, November 30, 2008
Friday, November 28, 2008
Here's a recap of the 2008 season, by the numbers:
16 – Named storms
8 – Hurricanes
7 – Tropical storms
1 – Sub-tropical storm
5 – Category 3 or stronger hurricanes
$27.8 million – Federal Emergency Management aid in Florida for damage from Tropical Storm Fay
27.65 inches – Most rain recorded from Tropical Storm Fay, 8 miles northwest of Melbourne
0.72 inches – Rain recorded at Tampa International Airport from Tropical Storm Fay
4 – Number of times Tropical Storm Fay made landfall in Florida
18 – Days Hurricane Bertha lasted, the longest-lived July hurricane on record
3 – Consecutive seasons since Florida has been hit by a hurricane
Wednesday, November 19, 2008
Saturday, November 08, 2008
On-going news on Paloma.
Our company has a good track record of planning Conventions that predict Hurricane movement. Two years ago we were scheduled for Cancun when Wilma came through.
Want to know where to avoid next year? Keep checking back. I'll let you know where our next convention is scheduled!
Wednesday, November 05, 2008
> Posted by Ken Kaye at 7:24 AM
Here it is, early November, a time when we should be formulating Thanksgiving plans, savoring the cooler weather and, of course, celebrating the historic election of Barack Obama.
Yet, at least in this small corner of the world, we’re still keeping an eye on a tropical system.
The same disturbance that’s been lingering in the Caribbean near the border of Honduras and Nicaragua for the past couple of days is getting better organized.
The National Hurricane Center gives it a high chance of developing into a tropical depression or a tropical storm within the next day. A hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate it this afternoon.
For now, the system does not appear to be a threat to Florida. Most computer models project it will pass south of the state as it moves northeast.
Those projections could change, however, if it develops a closed circulation. So we’ll continue to keep an eye on it."
Monday, October 13, 2008
Monday, October 06, 2008
Whew....read my text message alert incorrectly this afternoon. Missed the "no" in "Marco forms off Mexico Coast, no threat to Florida". After a few minutes of concern while driving home in an unrelated pouring rain storm this afternoon, I checked a couple of websites and realized my error.
Less than 2 months to go in the season and we're headed into the time when the Gulf of Mexico is most active.
BTW, Congratulations Rays! 3 games to 1 winners over the White Sox in ALDS.
Thursday, September 25, 2008
Monday, September 22, 2008
Saturday, September 13, 2008
Galveston Island Flooding & Fires viewed from a Coast Guard HU-25 Falcon Jet
In Galveston, at least 17 structures had been leveled, officials said, 10 due to fire. The destruction included the Balinese Room a landmark former speakeasy and casino on a wooden pier extending 600 feet out into the gulf. In its 1940s heyday, the Balinese Room had seen shows by Frank Sinatra, Bob Hope and the Marx Brothers.
Friday, September 12, 2008
Continuing live coverage from Austin-American Statesman reporters on the ground in Houston ---including live video from their car at 7pm EDT
More Ike tweets from Twitter
Houston Chronicle Tropical Weather Blog
User submitted photos from Galveston Wow!
Thursday, September 11, 2008
Fay & Hanna soaked and swiped; Gustav and Ike came around the bend and up into the Gulf.
Our best wishes to those in the path of Ike, a Texas-sized storm! Here's an interesting history of Tropical activity in Texas
In 2001, Tropical Storm Allison — not even a hurricane — stalled out and dumped nearly 37 inches of rain on the Port of Houston over a five-day period, according to the National Weather Service. It killed 22 people and was the costliest natural disaster in Houston's history.
In 1983, Hurricane Alicia killed 21 Texans. Wind gusts of hurricane force in downtown Houston littered the streets with broken glass as windows broke in tall buildings.
In 1961, massive Hurricane Carla whipped up peak winds of 175 mph. Only 46 Texas residents died, largely because about 250,000 people had evacuated.
A 1919 hurricane came ashore south of Corpus Christi as a Category 3 on Sept. 14. The death toll is estimated at between 600 and 900 people, including more than 500 lost on ten ships that sunk or were reported missing.
Between 1900 and 2004, Florida was hit by a total of 64 hurricanes, Texas absorbed 38, and North Carolina took the brunt of 29.
Friday, September 05, 2008
Hanna's outer band rain didn't quite make it to Tampa Bay today as was a possibility, marking the third storm this season that passed by us without much impact. We had a partly sunny day here with a nice breeze from the east.
However, Ike is our focus this weekend as we watch the "cone of uncertainty" continue to evolve. The latest advisory has the center of the cone continuing to move west into the Gulf of Mexico and curling north past Florida.
I would expect that Sunday will be the day of decision based on where Ike is and the forecasts. I'm supposed to travel to Virginia & Philly Tuesday/Wednesday but I'll be making a last minute decision on Monday depending.
Tuesday, September 02, 2008
Governor Crist has declared a state of emergency ahead of Hanna.
He says that Ike's the one to watch as it is relatively small and compact, the same way Andrew was 10 years ago when it was a week out like Ike is.
Oh yeah, then there is Josephine.....
Monday, September 01, 2008
Very Cool representation of Mother Nature's current triple play from Weather Underground
Meanwhile a beautiful day in Tampa Bay today with just enough breeze to cool and reasonably active surf that brought out the boogie boards, surfers, and sightseers. Overnight, rain subsided but rough waters in Tampa Bay caused some splashing of salt water over intercoastal sea walls on Clearwater Beach.
Sunday, August 31, 2008
Just catching the edge of this band. Light rain falling.
Have had wind all day including some gusts that got my trees' attention (and mine!)
We're 270 miles from the center of the eye as of 2pm today yet we're feeling the effect of Gustav's wind, rain, and clouds!
5:27pm update: Worst of the band is in southern end of the Tampa Bay area affecting Sarasota and Bradenton primarily. Looks like heaviest weather is offshore.
Saturday, August 30, 2008
Gustav's predicted impact on Gulf of Mexico oil production.
New Orleans Radio
Gustav Updated Tracking Map
Get a ride out of Gustav's way on craigslist??!!
New Orleans Mayor says Gustav is "Storm of the Century". Orders Evacuation. Excellent recap of current status from the New York Times
Gustav Social Networking (Ning) Aggregation Site
Gustav on Twitter
Gustav will be "Social Media's" Coming Out Party
Extending 175 miles from the center, feeder Bands already soaking us. Clearwater Beach streets were full of water at 2pm today with more to come.... Water has subsided, as it normally does after the drenching.
Should be a gray and wet holiday weekend here on the west coast of the Sunshine State.
Friday, August 29, 2008
Seems like Gustav is also very susceptible to changing weather patterns that will affect direction and strength but no doubt will impact the southern Gulf Coast of the U.S. early next week.
For me, I still have all my yard "stuff" (chairs, planters, etc) still in the garage from the initial threat of Fay.
Thursday, August 28, 2008
Tuesday, August 26, 2008
Gustav spent the early part of its life as a subtropical storm, and was the first such storm to be named from the current lists by the National Hurricane Center. Previously, subtropical storms were not given names. The cyclone was also the latest-forming first hurricane of the season since 1941.
Oil prices sure to spike. Residents of Fay-soaked Gulf Coast have to be very anxious and just the thought of landfall near New Orleans is frightful. National media will really jump all over this post DNC in Denver.
The older I get the more I hate reading: "There is a possibility that Gustav could become a dangerous Category 3 hurricane sometime Friday or Saturday and be a Category 3 hurricane when it enters the southern Gulf of Mexico. All interests along the U.S. Gulf Coast need to watch the progress of this storm for early next week, especially the central and western Gulf Coast areas."
Links that got my attention:
Washington Post - Gustav could become a giant
Monday, August 25, 2008
Just as we're finally drying out and the sunshine has returned to its namesake state, another storm is forming with a west/northwest bias. Would become Gustav if/when it strengthens to Tropical Storm/Hurricane status.
Tis the season....
Sunday, August 24, 2008
Thursday, August 21, 2008
Tuesday, August 19, 2008
Northeastern Florida and then headed west north west into South Georgia.
Meanwhile, first squall from Fay hit Tampa Bay a few minutes ago, but nothing to be concerned about.
Meanwhile, there is another tropical wave out in the Atlantic off the coast of Africa near latitude 35 west that could get organized and we'll start watching.
Monday, August 18, 2008
Pinellas County will wait until tomorrow morning's 5am advisory before lifting some of mandatory evacuations scheduled to go into effect at 6am. Hillsborough County (Tampa) to do something similar.
South of Tampa Bay will get the brunt of the storm down near Naples, so I'm going to bed and hope things don't change over night.
My employer has told us not to report Tuesday. Schools are cancelled and this is could end up being a minimal event with just some wind gusts and a healthy dose of rain...but....
Took some precautionary measures today and brought in the potential airborne objects, bought some ice and filled up the car. Will be glad if it's all for naught. In the meantime discovered the best Hurricane data dashboard thus far with our local Fox affiliate . Multiple satellite and radar views, forecast tracks, spaghetti models, live video from their weather center, webcams and even nonsensical scrolling chat. Who are these people??!
Encouraging for those of us in Tampa Bay
Tropical Storm Fay: Spaghetti models from MyFoxHurricane.com
The track is pushing farther east but the storm looks like it may be pretty wide. The stronger side of the storm is on the east so that's a better track than brushing the west coast and having all that energy right on us. The center of the "cone" predicts landfall north of Fort Meyers and south of Port Charlotte, not too far from where 2004 storms hit, and then tracking north east of Tampa Bay.
Today is the first day of school for many. Tuesday will probably be a "hurricane day" - our version of a "snow day" for you Northerners....
Sunday, August 17, 2008
Saturday, August 16, 2008
We are still in the center of the cone with Tuesday the most likely day of concern here in the Tampa Bay area and most of the west coast of Florida.
Keep going west Fay!!
Friday, August 15, 2008
Tuesday, August 12, 2008
The first feature is about 600 miles east of the Lesser Antilles near 15.5 north, 55 west and should continue to move west northwest during the next few days. If the system continues to organize it should become a depression sometime on Wednesday or Thursday♦.
Long range computer information takes the system into the southern Bahamas on Saturday and Sunday. Computer forecasts suggest this system should become a storm and could become a hurricane this weekend.
The limiting factors on strengthening will be lingering dry air to the north and some shear to the north and west of the system. If the system moves slow the shear will not be a factor. The Atlantic ridge in place over the western Atlantic is forecast to build stronger to the west and over Florida. If this happens then the system will turn more westerly into Cuba or the Straits of Florida early next week. But the long range ideas on this system are highly uncertain and are highly dependent on the orientation and strength of the Atlantic ridge.
Monday, August 11, 2008
We are keeping a close eye on two features in the southern North Atlantic that might become organized tropical systems within the next few days. One feature is located about 700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles along 47 west with a broad area of low pressure centered near 13 north. This low pressure area and the clouds, showers and thunderstorms attempting to wrap around it have been moving west-northwest at about 10-15kts. Computer simulations suggest this feature will attempt to organize over the next few days and could become an organized tropical feature by the time it nears the Leeward islands on Thursday. Surface temperatures are near 80 degrees Fahrenheit and upper-level winds are favorable. The only limiting factor is drier air to the north and northwest. If this dry air gets drawn into the low pressure area this could prevent thunderstorms from wrapping around the system.
The second feature we are watching is located along 30 west with a surface low near 11 north. This is roughly 450 miles southwest of the Cape Verde islands. Visible satellite images during Monday afternoon were showing a swirling cloud mass including some banding clouds. Banding clouds suggests convective showers and thunderstorms are arcing around a common center, a sign the system is trying to organize in the lower and upper levels. If this banding process continues, the system could become a tropical depression within the next day or two. The system is moving west northwest at about 10-15kts over relatively warm water. It will pass over an area of cooler water over the next 24 hours then should be in favorable warm water. The system is riding on the northern fringes of stronger wind shear which could have some affect on its development. But the shear should relax as it moves farther east. If this system can outrun the shear and move into warmer water, then it could become a depression within the next day or two.
By AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski
Saturday, August 09, 2008
Last week experts raised their predictions for this year's Atlantic hurricane activity.
Meanwhile, Accuweather says keep an eye on a tropical wave coming off Africa coast Sunday for potential development next week.
Sunday, August 03, 2008
Sunday, July 20, 2008
Saturday, July 19, 2008
Saturday, July 12, 2008
The Bermuda Weather Service issued a tropical storm warning Saturday morning and the outer bands of Bertha threatened to sideswipe the island on Sunday.
The U.S. National Hurricane Center said the Category 1 hurricane was chugging north at about 2 mph (4 kmh). The storm remained mostly stationary on Saturday, and even forecasters hit a lull: "After a week or so ... I am running out of things to say about Bertha," read one official report.
Monday, July 07, 2008
Sunday, July 06, 2008
Thursday, July 03, 2008
The last Bertha was in 1996 and hit North Carolina.
Saturday, June 21, 2008
Meanwhile the state's insurance of last resort that many of us a counting on is increasing it's war chest: Florida's Citizens Secures $1.75 Billion for its High Risk Account
Monday, June 09, 2008
Friday, June 06, 2008
Portable camp stove or grill
Stove fuel or charcoal, lighter fluid
Canned meats, fruits, vegetables
Bread in moisture-proof packaging
Cookies, candy, dried fruit
Canned soups & milk
Powdered or single serve drinks
Peanut butter & jelly
Instant coffee & tea
Equipment & Other Items
Manual can opener*
Disposable plates, cups & eating utensils
Napkins & paper towels
Flashlight* (one per person)
Portable battery powered lanterns
Glass enclosed candles (only for use after the storm)
Battery powered radio or TV
Battery operated alarm clock
Extra batteries, including hearing aids
Ice chest & ice
First aid kit, including aspirin, antibiotic cream & antacids
Sun screen (SPF 45 recommended)
Waterproof matches/butane lighter
Bleach or water purification tablets
Maps of the area with landmarks
Disposable diapers & moist towelettes*
Formula, food & medication*
Photo copies of prescriptions*
Proof of residence (utility bills)*
Waterproof container for document storage
Back up discs of your home computer files
Camera & film
Tools: hammer, wrenches, screw drivers, nails, saw
Trash bags (lots of them)
Plastic drop cloth
ABC rated fire extinguisher
Duct tape or strong masking tape for emergency repairs (not to tape windows)
Outdoor extension cords
Prescriptions* (1 month supply)
Soap, shampoo & detergent
Toiletries & feminine hygiene products*
Changes of clothing*
Extra glasses or contacts
Bedding: pillows, sleeping bag*
Rain ponchos & work gloves
Entertainment: books, magazines, card games, etc.*
Dry & canned food
Water (half gallon per day)
Litter box supplies
One gallon of water per person per day (half for drinking, half for bathing) Store water in clean, plastic containers such as soft drink bottles or milk jugs.
Have TWO WEEKS supply of each item for each person in your home.
Monday, May 26, 2008
I sit here tonight watching the local weather on our Fox affiliate , they were saying there have been more than 1100 tornadoes so far this year ("unofficially") and that there may be a tie between an active Tornado season and an active Hurricane season.
Just what you want to hear before bed.
Apparently that old girl, La Nina, creates an active jet stream that can create both types of storms.
The prediction for this season is more active than normal but comparable to last year's with 6 to 9 named storms. Check back from time to time for updates from Florida.