Friday, September 01, 2006

2006 Hurricane Forecast Lowered!

Hurricane authority Dr. Wiliam Gray wrote today: "We now anticipate that the 2006 Atlantic basin tropical cyclone (TC) season will be considerably less active than the seasonal activity we anticipated in our earlier forecasts and in our updated 3 August forecast.

We now expect that the 2006 hurricane season will have slightly less hurricane activity than the long-term average. This is due to an unexpected increase in tropical Atlantic mid-level dryness (with large amounts of African dust) and a continued trend towards El NiƱo-like conditions in the eastern and central Pacific"

September is typically the busiest month and he's calling for 5 named storms, 3 hurricanes, 2 major hurricanes.

No sign of Florence yet.

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